In this post I have no intention to dive deep into this topic. However, I think it would be interesting to look at the market as a game of probabilities. Good poker players use the probability theory all the time. They know what is the % probability that one or another starting hand has won in the past, they know the probablilty of making their hand after the flop and so on. They also consider the probability of someone bluffing, considering how a certain player has played before, how he has d...
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